2024 Attendance Prediction
- Thread starter COUGinNCW
- Start date
I believe the Hawaii game is Homecoming. It's also the only home game in October. I'd like to see 30K for that one.
Sold vs. attending is always hard to estimate, but I still think you’re optimistic on some of these.
PSU is Labor Day weekend. It won’t break 20K.
Texas tech might not be too much overestimated, but there are still a lot of seats left. It’s looking more like 26-27K right now.
You’re wildly overestimating apple cup. There’s a lot of availability still. Unless they come up with some wildly successful promotions and discounts pretty soon, and/or both teams look better than expected in their first couple games, it’s going to struggle to make 50K. Actually at the moment it looks more like 40K.
SJSU might be close, but only because of parents weekend. Doing that on a Friday night is dumb, it’s going to drive attendance down.
Games after that will be affected quite a bit by performance. I don’t really see any reason to think Hawaii will be that well attended. Maybe it gets a bump from being the last time the weather might be decent.
Utah state won’t draw that well, 25K is high end.
Wyoming is Saturday afternoon after thanksgiving. Students aren’t coming back for that, so the parents aren’t coming. Unless we’re at 8+ wins going into that one, we’re looking at 15K tops.
Tickets for Apple Cup will start picking up with the season starting. It’ll be near capacity.
Parents weekend on Friday night is a challenge. Might as well move kickoff back to 8:00PM.
Parents weekend on Friday night is a challenge. Might as well move kickoff back to 8:00PM.
Winning solves everything. There are still 20K undergrads on campus and enough people in the town and surrounding areas to fill the stadium twice.
Often used, but rarely true cliche.
Case in point: WSU-Arizona, Nov. 18, 2018.
WSU was 9-1, leading the Pac-12 North and ranked #8. Probably its most exciting team since 1997. Official attendance: 22,400.
Of the students and locals gave a damn, we’d have sold out every game for decades easily. They don’t, and they’ve proved it for decades.
Was it cold or wet that day/night?
Maybe the students or locals just didn't want to risk catching a cold so close to Thanksgiving?
It was November in Pullman, so it wasn’t warm. But it was dry, and we scored 55 points in the first half, so cold wasn’t an issue.
I have pictures of the stands during that game. It was shameful. Students didn’t leave at halftime, they just never showed up.
Apple cup was at home the next weekend, and it was for the PAC-12 north title. Student came back for that, I guess they just didn’t want to shorten their break on both ends. Wouldn’t have been that way when I was a student. If we had ever been 9-1 back then, we would have skipped Christmas and our 21st birthdays to watch games.
Thanksgiving weekend.
Its always been an item of contention with students leaving to go home, and I have no idea how you incent them to stay. If GMII and the electric offense can't get you fired up, I don't know what can.
Playing armchair sociologist/ psychologist I'd say having non-stop dopamine addiction contributes to this; the excitement of going to a game just doesn't live up to the constant morphine(dopamine) drip of tiktok or whatever they're using. This will not stop until these vidiots all have early onset dementia and their kids are screaming about "how could you let this happen???", or whatever long term effects of scrambling your brain chemistry has.
They're not going to have kids, because the dopamine drip from their phone prevents them from talking to the opposite sex in the first place.
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