Anything less than 6 wins this season I would consider a colossal failure and I would be very weary of the future. Especially at $3M.If we can all agree that this *should* be a 7 win team and that 5 or fewer wins would be considered a failure. I'll quietly go about my business. I fear the Doba effect where the program slides into the 4-5 win range and is trending in the wrong direction while fans stick their head into the ground insisting we are so close.
I get that Rolovich is a likeable guy. It's natural to want him to succeed. Again, I want him to do so as well. But I'm concerned. Probably because I know that I'll spend my Saturdays this fall pissed off if we lose. If it happens, it happens. What I won't take well is an adjustment of expectations by supporters telling us it was unrealistic to expect a 6-7 win season and a 4-5 win season is as good as we could expect given what was inherited.
What's significant about $3M/year as a Power 5 conference head football coach? I think Rolo's salary ranks something like 55th in the Nation and 10th in the P12 conference.Anything less than 6 wins this season I would consider a colossal failure and I would be very weary of the future. Especially at $3M.
I think $3M to win 6 football games minimum is more than enough, especially as there was a good foundation set he came into (yes, the D was leaky, but overall the cupboard wasn't completely bare by any means). If Rolo wins 8-9 a year, a pay raise will reflect that success.What's significant about $3M/year as a Power 5 conference head football coach? I think Rolo's salary ranks something like 55th in the Nation and 10th in the P12 conference.
If the expectation is 6 wins minimum, then we should probably be paying our head coach at least the 6th highest salary in the P12.
Except 3 wins should come OOC.What's significant about $3M/year as a Power 5 conference head football coach? I think Rolo's salary ranks something like 55th in the Nation and 10th in the P12 conference.
If the expectation is 6 wins minimum, then we should probably be paying our head coach at least the 6th highest salary in the P12.
I understand the concern, but another young player buried on the depth chart (didn't play a snap) and from Texas.
I have seen this posted before, but I don't see it in the numbers. Is this more of an eye test? Are we looking at 2017-18 only? Serious question as I just don't see it. Looking at the player who are here still here from the 2019 season most have had incremental gains. Ryan and Lucas have lost a around 10 pounds and Rogers and Woods a couple. The position groups average weight and height is around the same. OL is 10 pounds lighter. RB and most of defense seen gains. During the Crimson and Grey game Dillard talked positively about the size of the team.I don’t dislike Rolo at all and in fact I’ve heard from people that did work with the program they/players really enjoyed him quite a bit and much more so than Leach. I think Leach’s niche proved to be a selling point that was highly advantageous to WSU. One that Rolo will need as well to stand out among other teams in our conference and division in performance and recruiting.
I think you can pretty easily determine the quality of a team based off of their recruiting, development (scheme work/lifting), and in game coaching. Recruiting is a wash as of now. Physically we don’t look like years past. And in game coaching was a big WTF last year. Is a lot of that due to Covids effects? Probably..but this isn’t really a spot where you can use that excuse and have people care.
All while programs like Oregon are becoming consistent and UCLA, OSU, ASU, even CAL are raising their floors.
I really liked the Rolo hire, it’s just things need to get moving positively or there is a chance it will be much harder to sustain 7-8 wins seasons.
As far as I remember there really wasn’t too many starters out there, so I didn’t see those guys, but just what I did see did not look good. Pure eye test. Almost everything thing we have to go on right now is anecdotal and clouded. Maybe in fall, after they’ve had normal time in the gym and at the table it will be totally fine.I have seen this posted before, but I don't see it in the numbers. Is this more of an eye test? Are we looking at 2017-18 only? Serious question as I just don't see it. Looking at the player who are here still here from the 2019 season most have had incremental gains. Ryan and Lucas have lost a around 10 pounds and Rogers and Woods a couple. The position groups average weight and height is around the same. OL is 10 pounds lighter. RB and most of defense seen gains. During the Crimson and Grey game Dillard talked positively about the size of the team.
Seven wins based on what ? Experience a s stellar qb play ? Gordon led the conference in passing and they were 6-7 and only three wins in conference . I fully expect this team to be 4-8 or 5-7 . Not sure why you believe it is a seven win team when Leach with Gordon couldn’t win 7 .If we can all agree that this *should* be a 7 win team and that 5 or fewer wins would be considered a failure. I'll quietly go about my business. I fear the Doba effect where the program slides into the 4-5 win range and is trending in the wrong direction while fans stick their head into the ground insisting we are so close.
I get that Rolovich is a likeable guy. It's natural to want him to succeed. Again, I want him to do so as well. But I'm concerned. Probably because I know that I'll spend my Saturdays this fall pissed off if we lose. If it happens, it happens. What I won't take well is an adjustment of expectations by supporters telling us it was unrealistic to expect a 6-7 win season and a 4-5 win season is as good as we could expect given what was inherited.
Ed, I'll give you a couple of reasons why I think 7 is realistic. First, I think the D will be better. You may disagree; if so, that is fine; but I think they will be better. The bowl loss to Air Force showed that not only did our D not have a real D coordinator, we also were short on some players. That D cost Leach some wins, even with Gordon. This year looks to be better in both coaching and players. The second reason is that we have two great RB's, a solid O line, and an offense that actually runs the ball. I think our over/under is 6.5 games. Flip a coin between 6 and 7, depending on how things go. But 7 is certainly realistic.Seven wins based on what ? Experience a s stellar qb play ? Gordon led the conference in passing and they were 6-7 and only three wins in conference . I fully expect this team to be 4-8 or 5-7 . Not sure why you believe it is a seven win team when Leach with Gordon couldn’t win 7 .
Pretty much. Look at the schedule. Three winnable non-conference games. Arizona and Oregon St on the schedule. This 5 we should. Stanford, Cal, ASU, and UW don't look great either. It's not a stretch to expect to win two of these. Then there is always the longshot wins against Utah, Oregon, and USC to make up for a hiccup along the way.Ed, I'll give you a couple of reasons why I think 7 is realistic. First, I think the D will be better. You may disagree; if so, that is fine; but I think they will be better. The bowl loss to Air Force showed that not only did our D not have a real D coordinator, we also were short on some players. That D cost Leach some wins, even with Gordon. This year looks to be better in both coaching and players. The second reason is that we have two great RB's, a solid O line, and an offense that actually runs the ball. I think our over/under is 6.5 games. Flip a coin between 6 and 7, depending on how things go. But 7 is certainly realistic.
Spot onThe anti-Rolo sentiment expressed on this thread is nothing other than a preemptive "I told you so" response to those who celebrated Leach moving on to MSU.
Is Rolo going to be up to the task of keeping WSU at a consistent 7-9 win program? Considering how few WSU coaches have been able to accomplish that in our programs history, the money-line points to no, unfortunately. With that said, there is absolutely no evidence of cracks in the foundation at this point in time. The Rolo hire was widely applauded throughout the college football world. He was liked, respected, and considered to have the type of personality that would resonate well with WSU's culture and unique recruiting challenges.
If you were to remove the names of Leach and Rolo and write up an unbiased summary of each coach's program management; transfers, quotes, interviews, media/fan perspective, and perceived player acceptance of the coaches, Rolo would be universally regarded to be the better coaching hire, and it's not even close.
It's understandable to be fearful that Rolo won't work out. Most of our coaching hires over the past several decades haven't. But if you're trying to read the tea leaves about Rolo today, based on what you think you know or hear during a crazy COVID 19 bubble year, you're completely misguided.
Here's a blurb written about Leach and Mississippi State 6 months ago.
A list of the Mississippi State players that have left Leach’s program, and it is lengthy one.
Transfers
Opt-Outs
- Stewart Reese
- Keytaon Thompson
- Brevyn Jones
- Jarrian Jones
- Fabien Lovett
- Javorrius Selmon
- Garrett Shrader
- Jalen Myden
- Tre Lawson
- Tyrell Shavers
- Kareem Walker
- Nick Pendley
- Jamari Stewart
That’s a long list. In fact, that is 17 players that have elected to leave Mississippi State this season alone. These include quarterbacks Keytaon Thompson and Garrett Shrader, and standout running back Kylin Hill.
- Tyler Williams
- Kylin Hill
- Marcus Murphy
- Nathan Pickering
Anytime a coach comes in with program-changing concepts to the level of Leach’s offensive system, roster turnover is expected. However, this has been a slow-developing process since the start of the season.
Mike Leach will get time to bring in the right players for his system in Starkville, and deservedly so. But it is certainly rare to see such an exodus of players from one program in such a short time span.
Why the hate? The great thing about sports is that you can be optimistic all off-season, then if it goes good or bad, nobody is dead and you get to do it all over again. It’s not real life for fans, which is why you probably should be more of a fan than a fanatic! BTW, once again, I will assure you that the locker room is just fine.You can't fool us. You are assuming he had the locker room to begin with!!!!! You can take your un-fact checked misinformation and disinformation and shove it!!!! Exclamation points!!!!
A prompt and a thought exercise.
First, the prompt. Look at the history of WSU football and other have-not programs. I won't go into it all now. Just a few anecdotes, though. First, with some relevance here, a lot of Tech fans thought it was time for Leach to go. That didn't go well. They have sucked ever since, even with a short-term wunderkind in Kliff K. Any Oregon State message board denizen thought they were in for doing well post-Riley when they managed to land a then-well regarded Gary Andersen. Few fans ever think "oh man, I guess we have a 95% likelihood of going to our historical norm, reflecting our resources and standing in the recruiting pecking order, with the benefits brought by the new guy bringing in his players and adjustments to his schemes being offset to a great extent by both acute attrition in the coaching change and a general roll-off in talent over the next few years." But that's what usually happens.
Second, imagine you are an Oregon State fan. Maybe a Cal or Stanford fan if they had any. Maybe a UW fan, but that's a loaded concept. The point is that it can be any conference school. So you're a Beavs fan. You look at WSU. It had some pretty good teams, then was 6-7 in Mike Leach's last year. They were 1-3 last year in an admittedly questionable set of data. The new head coach and DC were both pretty good in the Mountain West in small samples. They generally are recruiting in the bottom quartile of the conference, as they almost always do and have done for years. Anything about that cause you to say "oh man, look out for those guys in coming years" any more than, say, we would do with regard to looking at Smith and Oregon State? How many of you can even name Oregon State's DC without looking it up? Well, it's DeRuyter, and there's a lot of reason to think he's pretty damned good. But do the Beavs make you think they'll be anything other than mediocre most years, maybe hitting 7-5 here and there?
Now go back to the Beavs fan perspective looking at WSU. Anything about our roster or program make you look at it and think it's in for something other than oscillating between 4-8 and 7-5, probably with a heavy dose of 5-7?
I'm not shitting on our program or coach. As I've written, I hope he's the best coach we've ever had and there's a statue of him in front of the stadium entrance in 20 years. He seems like a good guy. He's running an offense nobody else is and has shown a willingness and ability to learn and adapt. There are reasons to believe our DC can be quite good, including getting some Wyoming players to the NFL. These guys will get a shot. It's just hard to win, and to do so at a high level, at WSU, and you need to be borderline elite in some ways (as Leach was, despite his flaws, at maximizing wins with a given set of talent and resources), have the conference be way down, and/or catch a lot of breaks. We'll see how it goes.
Why the hate? The great thing about sports is that you can be optimistic all off-season, then if it goes good or bad, nobody is dead and you get to do it all over again. It’s not real life for fans, which is why you probably should be more of a fan than a fanatic! BTW, once again, I will assure you that the locker room is just fine.
Why the hate? The great thing about sports is that you can be optimistic all off-season, then if it goes good or bad, nobody is dead and you get to do it all over again. It’s not real life for fans, which is why you probably should be more of a fan than a fanatic! BTW, once again, I will assure you that the locker room is just fine.
Now this is strange . Has Etown ever shown you his “sources”? You do get Etown is a new poster , or better put he has history on this board, just not under Etown .Also I'll trust Etowncoug and his sources over yours anyday, as he is usually, altho not always right.
And he has been here longer then you. Your new, so your going to either have to end up being right or reveal your sources, etc, for me to believe you over Etown.
Also I'll trust Etowncoug and his sources over yours anyday, as he is usually, altho not always right.
And he has been here longer then you. Your new, so your going to either have to end up being right or reveal your sources, etc, for me to believe you over Etown.
According to 247 Sports:Also I'll trust Etowncoug and his sources over yours anyday, as he is usually, altho not always right.
And he has been here longer then you. Your new, so your going to either have to end up being right or reveal your sources, etc, for me to believe you over Etown.
Why the hate? The great thing about sports is that you can be optimistic all off-season, then if it goes good or bad, nobody is dead and you get to do it all over again. It’s not real life for fans, which is why you probably should be more of a fan than a fanatic! BTW, once again, I will assure you that the locker room is just fine.
I grew up in Iowa, seen a fan base similar to WSU. 4 Rose Bowls in 40 years, but a consistently winning program. WSU needs a coach that wants to stay for 20+ years. Iowa has had 2 coaches since 1979 and it has worked. I think Rolo is here to stay...support him, be patient, and it will hopefully payoff.This is the UW way. Think of yourself as national championship contenders 360 or so days a year only to be contradicted by a few "unfortunate" and "fluke" losses. But if the goal is to spend the off-season thinking positively about the future, that's your right. If that's your motivation, however, it's going to cloud your reasoning.
I grew up in Iowa, seen a fan base similar to WSU. 4 Rose Bowls in 40 years, but a consistently winning program. WSU needs a coach that wants to stay for 20+ years. Iowa has had 2 coaches since 1979 and it has worked. I think Rolo is here to stay...support him, be patient, and it will hopefully payoff.
If he wins, he'll have my loyalty.Rolo loves Hawaii, but he left because there is no P5 opportunity there. He’s a west coast guy and WSU allows him to recruit the big talent in Hawaii and elsewhere. He’s got young kids, so guessing Pullman is attractive for raising a family. Ferentz at Iowa raised 4 kids (3 eventually on the team at Iowa) and stayed even with multiple NFL offers over the years. Rolo is unique and loves family, hear me now, he’s going to stay and be successful
I am not going to go to the mat here about how WSU is a bottom-tier program in terms of what I expect as a fan, in part because that's not what I'm arguing here. I'm not saying WSU is going to become current-day Kansas, Duke at various times, or Pettibone-era Oregon State. Rather, I'm saying that WSU pretty much is current-day Oregon State, Texas Tech, or something in between that shares key characteristics of each. It's not impossible to win at one of these places, but the baseline is at a lower level within the conference absent something extraordinary, with that usually being changed in short order by market forces.Leach punched a hole in what your saying.
I get that Leach is, was a elite coach. If I am understanding you right, it seems like you are saying that a Elite Coach like a Leach, can only get WSU to a OCCASIONAL 6,7,8,9 win season.
You compare WSU to Tech. That is a good comparison. Leach had 10 straight BOWLS at Tech, and 4,5 straight bowls, and 6,7 bowls overall in the 8,9 years he was at WSU.
Thats fairly comparable, similar results. And WSU, Tech are similar level colleges. A good comparison.
WSU, Tech are not Poor Ole little Ole Aww Shucks, Lovable Losers WSU, Tech.
WSU used to be that. But Erickson, Price, and now Leach has changed that.
WSU is not a BIG Have, Big Boy program either.
Truth be told, WSU is BETWEEN being a Have and a Have not, Big time, and small time college. WSU is a average, mediocre, mid level, tier college between tbe Haves and Have nots, big timers, little timers.
WSU has overtaken, surpassed Ore St. A Elite Coach at Ore St only gets Ore St a occasional bowl season. But a Elite coach at WSU gets WSU multiple straight winning seasons, bowl games. Thats better then Ore State.
If I had to rank the Pac 12, tier wise. Tier 1: would be USC, Oregon. Tier 2: UCLA, UW, Stanford. Tier 3: Cal, WSU, ASU. Tier 4: Arizona, Colorado. Tier 5: Ore St.
WSU clearly is a semi mid Pac 12 level team that with a Elite Coach can win multiple winning seasons in a row, unlike Arizona, Colorado, Ore St, that can only have a OCCASIONAL good year with a Elite Coach.
Also throwing out Paul Wulf, and only counting Walden, Erickson, Price, Doba, Leach, WSU has had a LOT of SUCCESS from 1980 to 2020. Now pre that time period, in the 50's, 60's, 70's WSU wasnt that good, and was more like what your thinking, and a Elite Coach got WSU the rare, uncommon, OCCASIONAL semi good to good year.
WSU is not like that 50's, 60's, 70's WSU anymore. WSU is more like the Leach WSU now, because of Floyd, Moos, Chun, Leach, Erickson, Price, etc, who have built WSU into a mid level program, up from being the bottom level program WSU used to be.
Others can think WSU is a BOTTOM PROGRAM. But WSU is a semi mid level program now.
I’d agree the jury is still out on Rolo. I have my concerns too, biggest being the 3rd quarter meltdowns we saw in the exhibition season.If we can all agree that this *should* be a 7 win team and that 5 or fewer wins would be considered a failure. I'll quietly go about my business. I fear the Doba effect where the program slides into the 4-5 win range and is trending in the wrong direction while fans stick their head into the ground insisting we are so close.
I get that Rolovich is a likeable guy. It's natural to want him to succeed. Again, I want him to do so as well. But I'm concerned. Probably because I know that I'll spend my Saturdays this fall pissed off if we lose. If it happens, it happens. What I won't take well is an adjustment of expectations by supporters telling us it was unrealistic to expect a 6-7 win season and a 4-5 win season is as good as we could expect given what was inherited.
Agree on the defense. I think it could be a good unit.I’d agree the jury is still out on Rolo. I have my concerns too, biggest being the 3rd quarter meltdowns we saw in the exhibition season.
Rolo aside, my optimism comes more from the talent I know is there at key positions, and I am all in on Dickert from the strides I saw in the defense last year. It may not have shown statistically, but my eyeball test says they made a huge leap as a unit and there are multiple all-conference guys on that side of the ball. They have two potential lockdown corners...when was the last time we had that? The DLine is always a question mark but it appears they have some bodies and depth at least. On offense it starts with Borghi and McIntosh, the transfer is promising as he has big game experience, and the OLine should be solid again. Add all that up and I don’t think it’s crimson colored glasses to think this team can win 7 games. As for Doba, he was truly a D Coordinator but he at least momentarily succeeded with the talent that was leftover from Price. I think Rolo should be able to make this team competitive even if he doesn’t pan out long term.
I like defenders who, you know, defend.I’d agree the jury is still out on Rolo. I have my concerns too, biggest being the 3rd quarter meltdowns we saw in the exhibition season.
Rolo aside, my optimism comes more from the talent I know is there at key positions, and I am all in on Dickert from the strides I saw in the defense last year. It may not have shown statistically, but my eyeball test says they made a huge leap as a unit and there are multiple all-conference guys on that side of the ball. They have two potential lockdown corners...when was the last time we had that? The DLine is always a question mark but it appears they have some bodies and depth at least. On offense it starts with Borghi and McIntosh, the transfer is promising as he has big game experience, and the OLine should be solid again. Add all that up and I don’t think it’s crimson colored glasses to think this team can win 7 games. As for Doba, he was truly a D Coordinator but he at least momentarily succeeded with the talent that was leftover from Price. I think Rolo should be able to make this team competitive even if he doesn’t pan out long term.
I am just happy to see that we can see our defenders in the TV screen where the ball is.I like defenders who, you know, defend.
Wrapping up and tackling is so night and day from during the 'speed D' days, it's not even funny. Clearly the staff can coach the fundies. Now they need to bring in the horses to execute.
They truly were sooo close to being a top half defense last year. Plenty of times they were in the right position and was just bad luck. With everything they have coming back and Dickert coaching them up another full year, I’m shocked if they are not a breakout unit in the conference. Offense needs to help them out though. 5 or 6 empty possessions in a row can’t happen.I am just happy to see that we can see our defenders in the TV screen where the ball is.
I was really impressed that they were in a position to make plays time after time...and without the benefit of spring ball.
Too bad we didn't have Dickert on the 2019 staff.
I think it was more about depth than luck. Hard to be in the top half of the league defensively when you need to call timeouts to figure out who the 4th string guy is so you have properly rotate. I expect this to improve with time, maybe not by the end of this year, but give Dickert a few classes and he'll have things humming along.They truly were sooo close to being a top half defense last year. Plenty of times they were in the right position and was just bad luck. With everything they have coming back and Dickert coaching them up another full year, I’m shocked if they are not a breakout unit in the conference. Offense needs to help them out though. 5 or 6 empty possessions in a row can’t happen.
Agree. The large numbers of "unavailable", covid exposed folks for the last 3 games was the biggest single factor in what you are describing. Won't have that this coming season.I think it was more about depth than luck. Hard to be in the top half of the league defensively when you need to call timeouts to figure out who the 4th string guy is so you have properly rotate. I expect this to improve with time, maybe not by the end of this year, but give Dickert a few classes and he'll have things humming along.
yup. what we saw was lack of depth and talent.I think it was more about depth than luck. Hard to be in the top half of the league defensively when you need to call timeouts to figure out who the 4th string guy is so you have properly rotate. I expect this to improve with time, maybe not by the end of this year, but give Dickert a few classes and he'll have things humming along.
They truly were sooo close to being a top half defense last year. Plenty of times they were in the right position and was just bad luck. With everything they have coming back and Dickert coaching them up another full year, I’m shocked if they are not a breakout unit in the conference. Offense needs to help them out though. 5 or 6 empty possessions in a row can’t happen.
We just need to emphasize the Run part of the run and shoot. That should open it up for some easier throws down field.
It also seemed like after the first game that we just threw way too many 4 yd outs with no opportunity for YAC.
Will be interesting to see how the offense evolves during the season. I think it will be some fun football.
JDL needs to find the wide open kids right in front of him. He needs to keep throwing to the spaces they are supposed to be in and force them to get better instead of bailing them out with his legs. It'll suck in the short term, but that's how you build long term success.