Lets count down the ways that chicken little has completely missed the target on this one:
- This BYU deal is funded by an LDS member and is much of a church thing as it is a NIL thing.
- The BYU deal was arranged by BYU, which is illegal in many states.
- The BYU deal is for tuition only for the walk-on players only, which amounts to $5700/ yr, or about $500/mo. Hardly ground breaking money.
- Based on portal activity and players who are leaving for ZERO money but because they think they'll get PT elsewhere, I think its safe to say that a player who thinks he has a chance at the show would take a position at a school where they'll play (earlier) than ride the pine for a few thousand bucks.
- We have no idea what the NIL contracts will look like - will a player be locked up to one sponsor or will they be able to take several deals? If I'm a food mfg, I don't want my endorser shilling for other brands.
- The number of schools who have benefactors who can year in and year out provide full tuition (or more) for multiple players, let alone walk-ons, is small. 'Bama is $30k/ yr for out of state tuition, x 25 is about $1MM dollars. Also, I don't believe this will be considered a charitable donation due to the quid pro quo, so this is no longer a write off. (my best guess, I don't know for sure)
- What person is going to purchase NIL rights for a walk-on player? What benefit does that serve the purchaser to have a no-name freshman pushing their bowling alley?
Some points that I agree with and some that I don't agree with
I'll address your last point
Your thinking the type of NIL walk on that has been talked about is a 2 star, 3 star NO NAMER.
It's obvious that you didn't read or get my point about 3.5 stars.
3.5 stars are NOT NO NAMER's.
They are 4 stars by some rankers, and 3 stars by other rankers.
These 3.5 stars do have well known names, just like 4 stars, and 5 stars.
And the only reason they are not getting a official SCHOLLY offer, etc, is because a BAMA type only has room for 4 stars and 5 stars, and has to turn away 3.5 stars.
Those 3.5 stars that BAMA types turn away because of lack of room, are still well known, etc.
Also don't be surprised if a BAMA Type has to turn away a 4 star, or a 4.5 star, because they only have room for 5 stars.
These 3.5 stars, and 4 stars that get turned away by BAMA TYPES, usually get a SCHOLLY offer from another P5 College, whether WSU a P5 College, or some other P6 college.
In fact that is how WSU has gotten a couple, few, some past 4 stars, thanks to USC, BAMA types turning them away, because no more room, etc.
But now BAMA or USC can just arrange a NIL deal to pay for that 3.5 star, 4 star's Tuition, and have them walk on to USC.
You might think a 4 star won't walk on at a BAMA, USC, etc, and before NIL, you would have been right.
BUT NIL makes 4 star walk ONS at BAMA, USC, a possibility.
So they aren't NO NAMERS. Absolutely someone will offer a NIL Deal to get a 3.5 star and a 4 star to Walk on to a BAMA, a USC, and absolutely that 3.5 star, and 4 star will accept that over a Official SCHOLLY offer from WSU.