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Chip Kelly buyout

Only if you know you can get somebody better, and UCLA can't. I think it would be shortsighted of them. After three losing seasons, to finally have a winning season, to then just fire him is kind of dumb. We know they aren't going to back up a Brinks truck to pay a coach like USC did, or else they would not have worried about the buyout for Kelly after the first three losing seasons.
 
Chip Kelly's decline is one of the more surprising stories in CFB. Peaks with Oregon. I remember that first NFL game, I think it was Eagles vs Skins, Eagles ran away with it in the first half. By halftime, the Skins made the necessary adjustments and I think won the game, and had thus - with the assistance of NFL parity - taken 30 minutes to crack what college football coaches couldn't crack in a decade. I know he might ascendant at UCLA, but wouldn't have thought it'd take him this long to start another fire. Was it Oregon's recruiting? Was it the newness of Oregon's particular speed option? Was it planets aligning in terms of staffing?
 
Chip Kelly's decline is one of the more surprising stories in CFB. Peaks with Oregon. I remember that first NFL game, I think it was Eagles vs Skins, Eagles ran away with it in the first half. By halftime, the Skins made the necessary adjustments and I think won the game, and had thus - with the assistance of NFL parity - taken 30 minutes to crack what college football coaches couldn't crack in a decade. I know he might ascendant at UCLA, but wouldn't have thought it'd take him this long to start another fire. Was it Oregon's recruiting? Was it the newness of Oregon's particular speed option? Was it planets aligning in terms of staffing?

It was the $ funneled to recruits. He doesn’t strike me as a guy that is hungry to hit the road recruiting. Combine that with the dontgiveashittedness about football at UCLA, there they are.
 
Dude has made multi millions of dollars for the last however many years. He knows how the game is played. UCLA can read a contract too and just saved $$$$ by waiting a couple weeks.

Chip is going to get paid for 2022 whether he is coaching or not. His 8 wins 'might' get him an extension but it certainly won't include the juice/buyout provisions of his current contract.

If he doesn't get an extension and gets axed after 1/15, he's not going to starve and could still pull the Dennis Erickson work for $1 move. Maybe Phil Knight brings him on as a Nike employee based in Eugene and Chip gets to visit his key account 'customer' frequently.
 
It was the $ funneled to recruits. He doesn’t strike me as a guy that is hungry to hit the road recruiting. Combine that with the dontgiveashittedness about football at UCLA, there they are.
Paying kids wins them the jump ball on what, 1 or 2 kids a year? The chances of one or both being blue chips + gamechangers aren't even 100%. Ole Miss did the same thing and it helped, but they weren't Oregon. I guess you could say the P12 was lopsided enough at that time that 1 kid could explain an extra win or two, but I actually remember it being fairly competitive during Chip's reign.

Very skeptical that paying kids can explain more than 10% or 20% of their success. I wonder how much had to do with the initial meteoric rise of the Kelly Ducks, the recruiting excitement of the Nike partnership and facilities/money, the flash of a non-blueblood "new money" west coast team, some perfect storm of talented coaching staff, and a certain level of conference competitiveness.
 
Paying kids wins them the jump ball on what, 1 or 2 kids a year? The chances of one or both being blue chips + gamechangers aren't even 100%. Ole Miss did the same thing and it helped, but they weren't Oregon. I guess you could say the P12 was lopsided enough at that time that 1 kid could explain an extra win or two, but I actually remember it being fairly competitive during Chip's reign.

Very skeptical that paying kids can explain more than 10% or 20% of their success. I wonder how much had to do with the initial meteoric rise of the Kelly Ducks, the recruiting excitement of the Nike partnership and facilities/money, the flash of a non-blueblood "new money" west coast team, some perfect storm of talented coaching staff, and a certain level of conference competitiveness.
Possibly the flashiest program in college football for a while, between the facilities and uniforms and media machine. However, after people realize there was no meat in that sandwich the fervor around Oregon cooled substantially.
 
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Paying kids wins them the jump ball on what, 1 or 2 kids a year? The chances of one or both being blue chips + gamechangers aren't even 100%. Ole Miss did the same thing and it helped, but they weren't Oregon. I guess you could say the P12 was lopsided enough at that time that 1 kid could explain an extra win or two, but I actually remember it being fairly competitive during Chip's reign.

Very skeptical that paying kids can explain more than 10% or 20% of their success. I wonder how much had to do with the initial meteoric rise of the Kelly Ducks, the recruiting excitement of the Nike partnership and facilities/money, the flash of a non-blueblood "new money" west coast team, some perfect storm of talented coaching staff, and a certain level of conference competitiveness.

The 10%-20% more success is where the league titles are. Mix in the newness like you said, voila! Rose Bowl.

I think they won the jump ball on a few more than 1-2 kids. Their facilities, the NIKE relationship, fancy jersey’s, etc…. mix in a few dollars to people behind the scenes to help drive some kids there…. Rose Bowl.
 
Now that he is staying around, I wonder how the south is going to look with Riley at SC, Utah likely to have a good year next year, a great recruiting class going to what had been a dumpster fire at UA, and a big "who knows??" at Colorado and ASU? UCLA has usually been the land of undeveloped potential. The Chipster had an offense last year and looks to have an offense this year, now that his QB has announced that he is coming back for one more season. Last year he didn't have much of a defense. It appears that is what he needs for UCLA to challenge in the south. I guess stranger things have happened?
 
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