Hutson strikes me as exactly the type of guy we could land. Because he missed the NCAA tournament this year, I don't expect him to be a super hot commodity on the market. Nor has he been around long enough to put his name near the top of most major job searches. Might be worth it for him to try to win here, because a 20 win season probably gets him into the NCAA tournament and one of college basketballs premiere jobs. Staying in the Mountain West, he'll be stuck competing against Nevada, UNLV, New Mexico, SDSU, Utah, Colorado St and Boise St annually. All have more advantages than Fresno St.
Hutson staying at Fresno St carries a lot of risk. Finishing outside the top third of the conference will hurt his upward mobility and he's in a much tougher conference than it gets credit for being. Might be a rare case where it's a reasonable risk for a young up and comer to jump to the P12.