Bowl Prospects

[BleedCrimsonandGray]

Anyone care to speculate bowl prospects should the team win out? Alamo, with its decent sized payout, is all but out the windows now.

That being said, I put the prospects of winning out at 50/50.

 

[M-I-Coug]

Anyone care to speculate bowl prospects should the team win out? Alamo, with its decent sized payout, is all but out the windows now.

That being said, I put the prospects of winning out at 50/50.

Oregon State just got shut out by a 3-7 Air Force 28-0 and has lost 5 in a row.

WYO is now 2-8

Who are we going to lose to?

 

[BleedCrimsonandGray]

Oregon State just got shut out by a 3-7 Air Force 28-0 and has lost 5 in a row.

WYO is now 2-8

Who are we going to lose to?

really? the team that loves to play down to the competition? Our O bending the knee to a middling NM defense in the second half?

All expectations of are out the window for me at this point.

 

[M-I-Coug]

really? the team that loves to play down to the competition? Our O bending the knee to a middling NM defense in the second half?

All expectations of are out the window for me at this point.

We are athletically much more talented than Oregon State and we are athethetically much more superior than Wyoming.

Have some faith. We'll bounce back, however, our defense is bad, if not awful, at stopping the run.

 

[Loyal Coug1]

Anyone care to speculate bowl prospects should the team win out? Alamo, with its decent sized payout, is all but out the windows now.

That being said, I put the prospects of winning out at 50/50.

Resurgence of ASU (WTF is with that?) and Colorado lurking don't help. One of them will probably steal the Alamo. IMHO Holiday or Las Vegas. BTW I see that attendance was 14,000 and change last night. Wow. Big Sky numbers.

Edit - hanging in there at #25 in the AP poll. #26 in Coaches.

 

[M-I-Coug]

Resurgence of ASU (WTF is with that?) and Colorado lurking don't help. One of them will probably steal the Alamo. IMHO Holiday or Las Vegas. BTW I see that attendance was 14,000 and change last night. Wow. Big Sky numbers.

Edit - hanging in there at #25 in the AP poll. #26 in Coaches.

I've watched at lot of videos on Bronco, and he'll turn around New Mexico. Once that happens, I'm sure the fans will come out.

 

[Stretch 74]

Oregon State just got shut out by a 3-7 Air Force 28-0 and has lost 5 in a row.

WYO is now 2-8

Who are we going to lose to?

Ourselves. Sorry to say.....

 

[Flatlandcoug]

Anyone care to speculate bowl prospects should the team win out? Alamo, with its decent sized payout, is all but out the windows now.

That being said, I put the prospects of winning out at 50/50.

The 2024 Pac-12 bowl selection process requires that a bowl must pick a team within one win of the team with the most wins eligible at the time of the selection. Here are the 2024 Pac-12 bowl tie-ins.

1) CFP
2) Alamo
3) Las Vegas
4) Holiday
5) Sun
6) LA
7) Independence

Here is the current order of the former Pac-12 and I put the projected final record based on ESPN's matchup predictor in parentheses.

1) Oregon: 11-0 (12-0)
2) CU: 8-2 (10-2)
3) ASU: 8-2 (10-2)
4) WSU: 8-2 (10-2)
5) UW: 6-5 (6-6)
6) USC: 5-5 (6-6)
7) Cal: 5-5 (6-6)
8) UCLA: 4-6 (5-7)
9) Arizona: 4-6 (4-8)
10) Utah: 4-6 (4-8)
11) OSU: 4-6 (4-8)
12) Stanford: 3-7 (3-9)

If that is how it plays out, it means that WSU will go to either the Alamo, Las Vegas or Holiday Bowls. That would also mean that there would be a three way tie for 2nd place in the Big 12 with ASU knocking off BYU. ASU, BYU and Iowa State would be tied and CU would be the regular season champ. BYU would be out by virtue of the head to head loss to the Sun Devils. Looking through the other tie breakers....ASU played the stronger schedule and would likely sneak in above Iowa State.

What that means is that there is a high probability of either CU or ASU making the CFP along with Oregon (which would be kind of hilarious). If that ends up being the case, WSU would be in either the Alamo Bowl or the Las Vegas Bowl. If Colorado loses in the Big 12 championship game, there is 0% chance that the Alamo Bowl passes up the Buffaloes and takes WSU. If ASU loses, it's a toss-up but one would guess that they would take the Sun Devils since they would be the higher ranked team. That means Las Vegas if ASU and CU face off in the Big 12 Championship. If Iowa State gets into the Big 12 championship and wins, I'm guessing that CU goes to the Alamo and Vegas takes ASU with the same record as us. That means Holiday Bowl for the Cougs.

If Colorado loses to KU next week, it gets weirder. Near as I can tell, that might keep CU out of the Big 12 championship game. Again, I think the Alamo Bowl takes CU given the chance. If ASU wins the Big 12 championship, we go to Vegas. If ASU loses, we probably end up in the Holiday Bowl.

With our loss last night, the scenario that might get us into the Alamo Bowl would involve CU making the CFP and ASU losing badly to BYU and failing to reach the Big 12 championship. If that happens, we would have a better record and might have a higher ranking. I don't think ASU is known for it's fan support so we'd have a shot.

This is definitely a TL;DR kind of post so my apologies for that.

 

[Loyal Coug1]

The 2024 Pac-12 bowl selection process requires that a bowl must pick a team within one win of the team with the most wins eligible at the time of the selection. Here are the 2024 Pac-12 bowl tie-ins.

1) CFP
2) Alamo
3) Las Vegas
4) Holiday
5) Sun
6) LA
7) Independence

Here is the current order of the former Pac-12 and I put the projected final record based on ESPN's matchup predictor in parentheses.

1) Oregon: 11-0 (12-0)
2) CU: 8-2 (10-2)
3) ASU: 8-2 (10-2)
4) WSU: 8-2 (10-2)
5) UW: 6-5 (6-6)
6) USC: 5-5 (6-6)
7) Cal: 5-5 (6-6)
8) UCLA: 4-6 (5-7)
9) Arizona: 4-6 (4-8)
10) Utah: 4-6 (4-8)
11) OSU: 4-6 (4-8)
12) Stanford: 3-7 (3-9)

If that is how it plays out, it means that WSU will go to either the Alamo, Las Vegas or Holiday Bowls. That would also mean that there would be a three way tie for 2nd place in the Big 12 with ASU knocking off BYU. ASU, BYU and Iowa State would be tied and CU would be the regular season champ. BYU would be out by virtue of the head to head loss to the Sun Devils. Looking through the other tie breakers....ASU played the stronger schedule and would likely sneak in above Iowa State.

What that means is that there is a high probability of either CU or ASU making the CFP along with Oregon (which would be kind of hilarious). If that ends up being the case, WSU would be in either the Alamo Bowl or the Las Vegas Bowl. If Colorado loses in the Big 12 championship game, there is 0% chance that the Alamo Bowl passes up the Buffaloes and takes WSU. If ASU loses, it's a toss-up but one would guess that they would take the Sun Devils since they would be the higher ranked team. That means Las Vegas if ASU and CU face off in the Big 12 Championship. If Iowa State gets into the Big 12 championship and wins, I'm guessing that CU goes to the Alamo and Vegas takes ASU with the same record as us. That means Holiday Bowl for the Cougs.

If Colorado loses to KU next week, it gets weirder. Near as I can tell, that might keep CU out of the Big 12 championship game. Again, I think the Alamo Bowl takes CU given the chance. If ASU wins the Big 12 championship, we go to Vegas. If ASU loses, we probably end up in the Holiday Bowl.

With our loss last night, the scenario that might get us into the Alamo Bowl would involve CU making the CFP and ASU losing badly to BYU and failing to reach the Big 12 championship. If that happens, we would have a better record and might have a higher ranking. I don't think ASU is known for it's fan support so we'd have a shot.

This is definitely a TL;DR kind of post so my apologies for that.

Nice analysis Flat - nothing to add here.......

 

[BleedCrimsonandGray]

The 2024 Pac-12 bowl selection process requires that a bowl must pick a team within one win of the team with the most wins eligible at the time of the selection. Here are the 2024 Pac-12 bowl tie-ins.

1) CFP
2) Alamo
3) Las Vegas
4) Holiday
5) Sun
6) LA
7) Independence

Here is the current order of the former Pac-12 and I put the projected final record based on ESPN's matchup predictor in parentheses.

1) Oregon: 11-0 (12-0)
2) CU: 8-2 (10-2)
3) ASU: 8-2 (10-2)
4) WSU: 8-2 (10-2)
5) UW: 6-5 (6-6)
6) USC: 5-5 (6-6)
7) Cal: 5-5 (6-6)
8) UCLA: 4-6 (5-7)
9) Arizona: 4-6 (4-8)
10) Utah: 4-6 (4-8)
11) OSU: 4-6 (4-8)
12) Stanford: 3-7 (3-9)

If that is how it plays out, it means that WSU will go to either the Alamo, Las Vegas or Holiday Bowls. That would also mean that there would be a three way tie for 2nd place in the Big 12 with ASU knocking off BYU. ASU, BYU and Iowa State would be tied and CU would be the regular season champ. BYU would be out by virtue of the head to head loss to the Sun Devils. Looking through the other tie breakers....ASU played the stronger schedule and would likely sneak in above Iowa State.

What that means is that there is a high probability of either CU or ASU making the CFP along with Oregon (which would be kind of hilarious). If that ends up being the case, WSU would be in either the Alamo Bowl or the Las Vegas Bowl. If Colorado loses in the Big 12 championship game, there is 0% chance that the Alamo Bowl passes up the Buffaloes and takes WSU. If ASU loses, it's a toss-up but one would guess that they would take the Sun Devils since they would be the higher ranked team. That means Las Vegas if ASU and CU face off in the Big 12 Championship. If Iowa State gets into the Big 12 championship and wins, I'm guessing that CU goes to the Alamo and Vegas takes ASU with the same record as us. That means Holiday Bowl for the Cougs.

If Colorado loses to KU next week, it gets weirder. Near as I can tell, that might keep CU out of the Big 12 championship game. Again, I think the Alamo Bowl takes CU given the chance. If ASU wins the Big 12 championship, we go to Vegas. If ASU loses, we probably end up in the Holiday Bowl.

With our loss last night, the scenario that might get us into the Alamo Bowl would involve CU making the CFP and ASU losing badly to BYU and failing to reach the Big 12 championship. If that happens, we would have a better record and might have a higher ranking. I don't think ASU is known for it's fan support so we'd have a shot.

This is definitely a TL;DR kind of post so my apologies for that.

Thanks for doing the math, it's exactly why I asked.