Who is he? What kind of player, recruit is he? Is he a transfer portal? A JC? HS recruit? 4,5 star? How many offers and who offered him? What are his measurables? What are his stats? Awards, Accolades? What position does he play? Etc, More info please.
That said he is probably a 4,5 star an or big time recruit.
And yes WSU has a semi ok, good chance, because of Smith is a awesome recruiter.
And the player would probably be a starter, co starter, 6th man, lots of playing time, etc, or at least have a awesome chance at that.
And the player would probably help WSU get over the hump and make a deep run into NCAA tournament.
And most of those programs are only just barely by skin of teeth better programs and might be equal programs to WSU.
And M State and ASU are just barely by skin of teeth slightly less good, worse programs then WSU.
And WSU's Smith is a better HC then most of the HC's of those programs.
And WSU made the players top 5.
Without knowing more info, I'd predict that WSU probably has about, around about a 39% to 43% chance to get that player.
That is a good chance.