Does anybody have some kind of model or non-anecdotal/long-run evidence for how much worse desert teams do in cold-ish temps?
My feeling is, this is not the '67 Ice Bowl. This is not can't-feel-your-extremities and offense-waits-with-hands-in-armpits-for-defense-to-get-off-the-field, or ball-and-field-are-hard-as-a-rock.
This is, clear skies, warm locker room, space heaters on the field, gloves and heavy jackets, 25-degree weather drop. Enough to be uncomfortable, but it ain't Lambeau in January.
I did the first half of my marathon training in Georgia; the second half in NYC winter. Both uncomfortable in their own ways but I wasn't exactly clutching my pearls.
Well here's what we got.
What I am looking for is in the month of November/December Arizona/Asu playing @ a "chilly climate location" Those are Utah, UW, Oregon, OSU, WSU, and Colorado.
Looking back for Arizona they haven't won an Away cold weather game in November since they beat Utah in 2014 42-10.
In fact if you look at their schedule there aren't too many away games in the cold late in the season.
That Utah seems to be the only place they can win. They did it in 2012/2014.
The following were losses
Last year - Loss to Oregon
2016 - Loss 69-7 in Pullman, Loss 42-17 to Oregon State
2015 - @UW loss 49-3
2014 - The Utah victory I mentioned. Loss 51-13 vs Oregon
2013 - No Coldweather location games but they did beat Cal just barely (33-28)
2012- @Utah 34-24 win.
2011 - @ Colorado loss, @UW loss
Weather average for November SLC is 49 high to 31 low. Cold, but not Pullman cold at times.
From 2011 to Present Arizona has lost on the road in the following places in November.
Pullman
Eugene
Boulder
Corvalis
Muttlake.
So as far as the PNW is concerned it's pretty much undefeated in November against Arizona. The Wildcats have some serious trouble winning in november against WSU, UW, Oregon, OSU.
In fact I can't find a road Pacific Northwest victory for Arizona since 2008. In Pullman 59-28.
So for what it is worth. Arizona hasn't won a road victory in the PNW in November since 2008.