On the surface, seems like a similar situation. He's at a traditional power and in a recruiting hotbed. Difference is that this time he's not taking over a successful program, he has to build it. The talent is there, he just has to motivate it.
He should be successful. Just depends on how much meddling the administration does.
Fortunately, we know he's bringing his DC. So as long as we have a QB who can run, their defense will always have a weakness.