Here are some statistics that are relevant to the current conversation:
449, 491, 452, 491, 460, 338 - These are the number of yards our defense has given up in each game this season. Fresno State was actually our best defensive performance by that measure.
637, 416, 381, 627, 416, 295 - The number of yards our offense has gained each week. Fresno State was our worst offensive performance, followed by UW.
1, 3, -1, 1, 0, 0 - How we came out in the turnover battle each week. This is a big part of the reason Texas Tech outgained us, but we still beat them comfortably.
215, 301, 136, 237, 89, 123 - Our rushing yards each week
55, 197, 62, 111, 28, 46 - Mateer's rushing yards each week
Here's what I take away from this:
- Our defense doesn't stop teams. It slows them down and maybe forces them into FGs instead of TDs, but they're giving up yards. They live and die on turnovers - if we can't be positive in the turnover battle, we're going to be in dogfights.
- Our offense has to run. If we can't find room to run, we struggle to move the ball.
- We're leaning way too much on Mateer running. Our last 2 opponents have contained him pretty well, which closed down our run game. That has made the offense struggle. Bottom line, they're forcing Mateer to beat him with his arm...and we're not a good team when they can do that.
All of this is objectively clear just seeing our games...but these are the numbers that support it.