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Pac-12 shakedown

CougPatrol

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Dec 8, 2006
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While I'm not confident in this years team at this point of the season, looking around the conference, we're not the only program with huge question marks.

Cal looks strong offensively, but we still don't know how they'll defend the pass. We scored 59 on them last year. I think the Bears will beat us, but timing could be on our side. We're sandwiched in the middle of a brutal stretch of road games for them. Here's how their recent/upcoming schedule looks: at Texas (last week), at UW, WSU, at Utah, at UCLA.

Oregon not much analysis needed here. The Ducks will be favored by 20+ against us, but their defense is weaker than it's been in the past. Still can't predict anything other than a loss here.

Oregon State has struggled in all of their games so far this year. New coach, young QB's. We should be favored in this one. Will be interesting to see how they do vs. Stanford on Friday.

Arizona looks at this point to be a lot better than us. Beating them on the road will be a tall task.

Stanford looked dead in the water before their big win at USC last weekend. Getting them at home helps, and despite their output last weekend, I'm still not sold on their offense. I think we can hang in this game.

ASU really looks to have taken a step back this season, particularly on offense. We'll find out more about them this week when they play USC, but getting them in Pullman in November doesn't look daunting.

UCLA has already lost a lot of starters to injury, including do everything Miles Jack. They're also playing a true freshmen QB. It's wouldn't be unrealistic to project that, by the time we play them, they're running out of energy. True freshmen always seem to hit a wall, and it's tough for any program to navigate through a season without 3 of their elite players.

Colorado is a lot like us, and playing them in Pullman the week before Apple Cup could be a trap game for the Cougs. Fan support is always low for the last (non-Apple Cup) home game, and the Buffs won't be phased by cold weather. Still, this is obviously a winnable game.

UW seems to be inspired this season with their youth movement, but like UCLA, it's tough to ride an entire season with a true freshmen QB. We'll see how the Dawgs navigate through conference play. If we face Lindquist, I like our chances.

Some of these teams will rise up, but I'm not seeing a gauntlet of elite teams. I think we *could* hang with most of these teams.
 
We will win a game we should lose, and we will lose a game we should win.
Cal. Halliday played a near perfect game and scored59 and still lost. Will falk be that productive. Our DB's still a question as they have not faced a sophisticated passing game as of yet.

Oregon until we beat them I agree. We are coming close to not beating the Ducks in 10 years,

Oregon State Agreed but OSU runs their QB much like PSU did . Simple offense but playing to Collins strength.

Arizona agreed

Stanford They will try to run us to Colfax. They have the horses to do it. I agree part because they play ball control, that gives us a chance to make it a game. .

ASU has always gone on these wild rides. Maybe the toughest team to predict. Was it last year they got hammered by UCLA and then beat USC and Stanford on consecutive weekends? .

UCLA true freshman.

Colorado This should be a win

UW winning in Seattle has never been easy for us.
 
Cal's defense (like ours) is still very much a question mark. Texas gained 650 yards and had 28 first downs against them last week.

Prior to that, Texas gained 277 yards and had only 11 first downs in a 42-28 win over Rice. In the season opener, Texas had only 8 first downs and 163 total yards vs. Cal.

I see a lot of people picking Cal to blow out UW in Seattle this week, but I'm not so sure about that.
 
I think we are going to have to take 2 of 3 from OSU, Colorado, and UW if we have any chance of a "successful" season.

Its hard to judge our chances against others when I'm not entirely sure what we've got. I think the Cal game will be enlightening... and after the OSU game we should have a pretty solid idea of what this team is capable of.
 
I think we are going to have to take 2 of 3 from OSU, Colorado, and UW if we have any chance of a "successful" season.

Its hard to judge our chances against others when I'm not entirely sure what we've got. I think the Cal game will be enlightening... and after the OSU game we should have a pretty solid idea of what this team is capable of.

Apart from Oregon and maybe Arizona, there's nobody on our schedule that looks invincible. Unlike some, I'm not giddy about UCLA. Narrow wins vs. Boise State and Virginia, a true freshmen QB, and significant injury problems. Playing a road game in the Rose Bowl isn't an intimidating venue. Hell, our players will be excited to play there.
 
Cal: They could beat us handily because of offensive output . I watched the 60 minute replay on Pac 12 Net against SD State., and I am still not awed by Goff and that team. Yes if you let their receivers run past you and there is little pressure on Goff he will deliver the ball for a score. On the other hand if you have decent pressure on him and good coverage on the receivers he still makes mistakes. They also have a decent running game but we should be ok there. It is really if our offense shows up, and if they do we can torch the Cal Defense. Terrible against the run and not much better against a good passing team. I see a possible Win here.

Oregon: I don't see us winning in Autzen stadium against that talent. Loss

OSU: I see a Win if we come out fired up. If we come out flat the Beavers will beat us.

Arizona: We will have to score a lot to beat AZ but they are not good defensively. Last season they killed is in Pullman though . Loss

Stanford: Win It is at home and we are due against that team. Hogan can stink it up in any game lets hope it is this one.

ASU: Too early to tell. They have had our number since Leach arrived, but they are not a dominating team so far this season.

UCLA : Probable Loss They have lost a lot of key players on Defense though so we may have a chance.

CU : Leach's record against CU from the time he was in Lubbock through our one game he has played has not been good against the Buff's. Remember the last time when we found a way to lose. I see a Win but would not be surprised if we lost If I am right this gets us bowl eligible.

UW: They are not as bad as expected in the games we have seen thus far. At this point I hate to say it but playing over there would favor the Dawgs Loss

My hope is not matter what is we are competitive in all the games . No blowouts
 
USAToday week 3 PAC -12 rank (thru games including 9/19)

Southern California (6)
Stanford (11)
UCLA (17) (*pre MJ inj..)
Oregon (20)
Arizona (29)
Washington (32)
California (34)
Utah (36)
Arizona State (49)
Colorado (73)
Oregon State (80)
Washington State (90)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Rutgers ( 91)
Portland State (129)
Wyoming (177)

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf/sagarin/
 
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Not what we want to see Chinook, but that is the state of our team at this time. I might say we are ahead of Oregon State, but what does it really matter. Need wins
 
"Oregon State has struggled in all of their games so far this year. New coach, young QB's. We should be favored in this one. Will be interesting to see how they do vs. Stanford on Friday."

And that is what concerns me. Also, we are at home which is another concern.

"Stanford looked dead in the water before their big win at USC last weekend. Getting them at home helps, and despite their output last weekend, I'm still not sold on their offense. I think we can hang in this game."

Again, at home. Not sure why anyone thinks that helps based on what we've seen in the past few seasons. Our biggest wins have strangely been on the road.

Maybe I'm delusional, but I think we have a pretty good chance at beating UCLA. Road game? Check. Underdogs? Check.
 
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