I don't have a strong opinion about how Gage will fare at WSU this year, but he definitely needs to learn to value the ball more. If Mik had done a couple minutes research on INT/ATT ratios, he would know that Gubrud's career average of a pick every 36 attempts is not particularly good. Minshew was picked 9 times in over 660 attempts last year and only one QB in the top ten last year was in Gubrud's range last year. Most averaged around 50 passes per INT. As mentioned above, there was some luck involved for Minshew, but nevertheless, we won't win anything close to 11 games if Gubrud doesn't have a great season when it comes to taking care of the football.
I feel pretty good about Gubrud, but only time will tell.
Gage doesnt do as good with lesser supporting cast. And he demonstrated that by not doing as good with the #2,#3's, in scrimmage as did with #1's.
When Gage had Kupp, right coach, system, lack of injuries, not getting himself injured and thus not having a down performance recovery time, etc, Gage did:
ABOUT 5000 yards, ABOUT 33 to 43 TD's, About 13,14,15,16 INT's, in ABOUT 450 ish attempts, with about 1 INT per ABOUT 46 to 56 attempts ratio, with about a 1 INT to about around 385 passing yards ratio, and about a 1 INT Per about 2.85 TD's ratio
Now Gubrud had about 33 INT's in his about 2.5 years of starting at EWU. About 20 of those INT's came OUTSIDE of his 5000 yard 33 to 43 TD KUPP season
So your applying MOST of that 1 TD per 36 attempts that happened MOSTLY outside the KUPP season, to the KUPP season.
So a question is, is Gage WHERE HE IS NOW, EXPERIENCE WISE, DEVELOPMENT, etc, at the 1 INT Per 36 outside KUPP season?
Or is the 5000 yard KUPP season where he is now eexperience, development, skill, etc, wise?
Answer is IT DEPENDS.
And here how,etc.
Gage's 5000 yard KUPP, Coach Beau Baldwin, season, system,is probably the CLOSEST to AIR RAID WITHOUT. BEING Air Raid offense.
Also Gage's supporting cast at WSU is BETTER then the supporting cast he had at EWU.
And Leach is better offensive QB, etc, coach then Baldwin.
And there are about 1,2,3,4 KUPP EQUIVALENTS, TALENT, SKILL, ETC, WISE at WSU this season for Gage.
Gage is more experienced, developed, skilled, talented, etc, as a 4,5 year, grad transfer, at WSU, then he was was at EWU putting up that 1 INT per 36 attempts ratio outside that 5000 yard KUPP season.
So there is a ok, semi good chance, that Gage will, would put up a KUPP like ish season at WSU.
Will he do that?
I dont know
But Gage will, would PROBABLY do better then the 1 INT per 36 attempt he Gage had outside of his 5000 yard KUPP season, at EWU, at WSU.
I predict, project, that Gage would probably have about a 1 INT per about 43 to 53 attempts at WSU, 43 at worst, 53 at best.
3700 to 5300 yards, 25 to 50 TD's, 12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19 INT's, 533 attempts, 50 to 250 yards rushing, 4.4 yards per carry, 2 to 7 rushing TD's, 25 to 65 rushing attempts, 8.5 wins
Thats assuming he starts, doesnt get injured.