Flynn didn't have friction with Kent, he didn't like the negativity of the fan base and thought the team would be terrible with Franks turning pro. He also thought he'd be highly recruited by top programs. Ended up at a solid mid major. As a recruit, WSU was by far his best option and after a good sophomore season he saw an opportunity to improve his situation through a transfer. 10 years ago it was unthinkable to have an underrated recruit start from day one, play for two years, and to be given the keys to the kingdom, only to turn around and transfer out. It's just a different world.
If Kemp bursts onto the scene next season and pushes for conference freshman of the year, what are the odds he sticks around? Suddenly he'll have options other than Montana. He'll have everyone in his ear telling him to go somewhere else. All of this is fine because it means he's had a good season, but more likely there is a reason why he's been under the radar despite being the son of an NBA All-Star.
Maybe we should look at recruiting as the one year commitment it is increasingly becoming. Who gives us the best chance to win games next year? (with the understanding about half of the players eligible to return will opt to transfer)
Post, Ali, Kemp are, have the best chance to commit, sign, comeback.
Kemp is pretty much already a done deal, will commit, sign, unless Post commits, signs, and Ali returns, leaving Kemp without a spot.
Or unless someone a Gonzaga type mid major, or a better then WSU P5 like PITT swoops in, and offers Kemp.
Sans those things Kemp is commiting, signing with WSU.
Also Kemp has about a 33 to 39% chance of having the type of breakout freshman year you mention.
And if Kemp does have a freshman breakout season, has about a 39 to 49% chance of transfering
But heres the thing: If he transfers he transfers, you get Kemp if you can because OF:
1. POTENTIAL, UPSIDE
2. You establish a PIPELINE connection to WESTSIDE, and 3,4,5 star, mid major, P5, college, NBA, FACTORY BEACH HS, and maybe even GARFIELD HS
3. Who Kemps Father is brings the SPOTLIGHT to WSU.
4. Because of above HELPS FUTURE RECRUITING.
If Kemp transfers, he transfers.
That doesnt mean that you dont recruit, commit, sign him, and go after someone else.
Same with all recruiting in General:
If they transfer, they transfer.
You still should recruit, commit, sign them, instead of chasing someine else.
If they transfer they transfer, but they may not transfer, not guaranteed to transfer.
When your WSU, where WSU is, you have to be willing to take calculated, mitigated risk, gambles academically, the transfer issue that mentioned, or that might not pan out.
If WSU does not do that, WSU either not win, or harder to win
And Smith, Leach both know that.