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OK - Tariffs

You are right about that ripple effect. Keep an eye out on your future home insurance bills. Insurance companies keep an eye on all those rising costs in steel and lumber and make adjustments to premiums at your next renewal date. And, just wait for them to start those automobile and parts tariffs. The insurance companies will really get you there on your auto premiums when they factor in those costs. Then you get into aluminum tariffs. Think about guys like @Loyal Coug1 who is going to see his cost of beers go up as aluminum goes up. Not just the end consumers but all those small breweries who won't be able to afford those cans and even the stainless steel brewing equipment needed. I'll stop here.
That's OK, I'm a beer snob. I only drink bottled or draft beer - stuff in a can is only for camping.
 
Yeah there is that, but it appears that Canada is making progress towards the 2%. Which is sort of arbitrary IMHO. Depending on your point of view, Canada doesn't really any borders or far-flung territories to defend. So whatever they are spending can/should be going primarily to......Europe's defense? Debatable.

Going further, I suppose Trump could extend his invite to Putin to "do whatever the hell he wants" to Canada. Wonder if he would change his mind if Russia takes Canada and is suddenly perched on our 2,000+ mile long border. Or stop and think "wait, it is nice to have this huge, friendly country as a buffer for our northern border. Best tone down the threats and rhetoric."

Bottom line in my humble yet all-knowing opinion, attacking Canada with words and tariffs and annexation is probably the least important (read sane) thing the US should be doing right now.
Nobody actually wants annexation. Canadians are too left and too socialist for republicans to tolerate. Trump is only talking about it for effect.
 
Impatient one, aren’t you!

The past 5 years have been the most volatile in history for lumber prices. 90 didn’t say if his buddy is owner/builder, a buyer of new construction or customer of a custom builder

In any case, anyone concerned about lumber volatility entering a build can hedge the lumber through their Schwab account.
 
My materials were $1200 more on the 11th than a month prior. The increase was in response to the 25% tariffs being announced. We will see what the increase will be once in place. As for buying American, the American mills slow production on purpose to keep their prices high. They take advantage of the situation.

This will likely cost me $20,000+ this year in materials alone. It could cost me the Calgary Stampede which is one of the biggest markets in Northern America.

I will be registering with the democrats and voting all blue down the ticket in the midterms. I live in a swing state.

Trump was an absolute disaster for me the first time. He is taking shape to do it again now. Gop has lost all of my votes until my pockets have been made whole from their reckless trade wars.
Hey Biggs, hope your relocation went smoothly.

Couple questions for you, if you don't mind. Is there any difference in materials between the old and new locations? Not looking to start any argument on the issue, just actually curious as to what you know about that market.

Also, since the economy in general was doing quite well under Trump in his first term, right up until Covid crushed us, what was it that was so terrible for you back then? Again, just looking to find out the micro view on things. Thanks.
 
Hey Biggs, hope your relocation went smoothly.

Couple questions for you, if you don't mind. Is there any difference in materials between the old and new locations? Not looking to start any argument on the issue, just actually curious as to what you know about that market.

Also, since the economy in general was doing quite well under Trump in his first term, right up until Covid crushed us, what was it that was so terrible for you back then? Again, just looking to find out the micro view on things. Thanks.

Same location. Price went up $9.75 per sheet on 14 gauge p/o steel. A 38% increase from one month to the next based on what was SAID, not done. Now the 25% tariff is in effect.

The price of steel went from $60 per 16 gauge 4’x8’ sheet to $150 for the same sheet in his first term. He was a disaster for the industry. His tariffs then put a lot of people out of business.
 
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I mean Trumps policies have had a significant negative impact on his bank account and earning power. He lined it all out for you, provided details. Why are you arguing with him?

I’ve got a buddy who’s in the middle of constructing his home. The lumber is now going to cost him $200K more, almost overnight. Yeah he’s f’n pissed, and will probably never recover that money…thanks to Trump, it’s an additional cost with no benefit.
Is your buddy building a mansion? Let me just say I am very skeptical of that number. The tariff that is being talked about that would go into effect is an additional 25%. So in order to cost him an additional $200,000 that means the estimated lumber cost right now is $800,000. That is just basic maths.

Now I am also looking to build in the next year or so. My design with full basement, first floor, and a loft area looking out towards the lake through the vaulted Great Room, has an estimate from the builder of $1,000,000 (plus or minus) to finish the entire ~4,000 square feet. So is your buddies house like 10-12,000 square feet or what? I doubt it is, and I question the 200 grand claim for lumber increase.
 
Is your buddy building a mansion? Let me just say I am very skeptical of that number. The tariff that is being talked about that would go into effect is an additional 25%. So in order to cost him an additional $200,000 that means the estimated lumber cost right now is $800,000. That is just basic maths.

Now I am also looking to build in the next year or so. My design with full basement, first floor, and a loft area looking out towards the lake through the vaulted Great Room, has an estimate from the builder of $1,000,000 (plus or minus) to finish the entire ~4,000 square feet. So is your buddies house like 10-12,000 square feet or what? I doubt it is, and I question the 200 grand claim for lumber increase.

This is lunacy. Move to SE Asia. You’re welcome.
 
Same location. Price went up $9.75 per sheet on 14 gauge p/o steel. A 38% increase from one month to the next based on what was SAID, not done. Now the 25% tariff is in effect.

The price of steel went from $60 per 16 gauge 4’x8’ sheet to $150 for the same sheet in his first term. He was a disaster for the industry. His tariffs then put a lot of people out of business.
Thanks. How much of these increases are you able to pass along to consumers vs how much you have to eat from your profit margins?
 
Thanks. How much of these increases are you able to pass along to consumers vs how much you have to eat from your profit margins?

Some things can move up. Others just are what they are. Either offer them or don’t.

There is a number where I shut down manufacturing completely on one item and move to another 100%.

Unless that thickness of steel gets hammered out of South Korea. Then I have to get creative.

Tariffs are one thing. US mills slowing production to hold both thumbs, both elbows, etc on the scale in their favor is another thing.
 
Same location. Price went up $9.75 per sheet on 14 gauge p/o steel. A 38% increase from one month to the next based on what was SAID, not done. Now the 25% tariff is in effect.

The price of steel went from $60 per 16 gauge 4’x8’ sheet to $150 for the same sheet in his first term. He was a disaster for the industry. His tariffs then put a lot of people out of business.
Steel prices are lower today than they were when Trump left office. In fact, CNY/T is lower today than just about every single day under the Biden admin.

Pretty easy to check.

Steel rebar futures were at CNY 3,220 per tonne, remaining close to the two-month lows of CNY 3,200 touched on March 11th amid concerns of lower demand. Consumer and producer prices in China fell more than expected in February to underscore the poor demand for manufactured goods in the world's top consumer. In the meantime, US President Trump imposed 25% tariffs on steel, spurring retaliatory measures from the EU. The measures have a muted impact on the Chinese rebar market due to existing barriers Trump's first term. Still, the move added to a rising trend of protectionist policies that do impact Chinese mills, particularly due to the rising dependency on exports to meet their sales targets as slowing construction activity dampened domestic rebar buying. Tariffs were imposed or threatened by Taiwan, Vietnam, South Korea, and Brazil. Steel exports grew 7% in the first two months to 17 million tons, following a record-setting record-high 130 million tons in 2024.​





 
Is your buddy building a mansion? Let me just say I am very skeptical of that number. The tariff that is being talked about that would go into effect is an additional 25%. So in order to cost him an additional $200,000 that means the estimated lumber cost right now is $800,000. That is just basic maths.

Now I am also looking to build in the next year or so. My design with full basement, first floor, and a loft area looking out towards the lake through the vaulted Great Room, has an estimate from the builder of $1,000,000 (plus or minus) to finish the entire ~4,000 square feet. So is your buddies house like 10-12,000 square feet or what? I doubt it is, and I question the 200 grand claim for lumber increase.
It’s a large house, and a big part of it is the garage. He collects vehicles. Think garage in Ferris Buehlers Day Off. I’m not sure what the total square footage is but think the garage alone will house 7-8 vehicles.
 
Same location. Price went up $9.75 per sheet on 14 gauge p/o steel. A 38% increase from one month to the next based on what was SAID, not done. Now the 25% tariff is in effect.

The price of steel went from $60 per 16 gauge 4’x8’ sheet to $150 for the same sheet in his first term. He was a disaster for the industry. His tariffs then put a lot of people out of business.
Not arguing that your price increases didn't happen, but why is there such a difference between what you experienced and what the US BLS charts show was a fairly stable level through Trump's first term? The huge spike happened during Biden's term, which I would expect is primarily explained by the whole Covid mess.

 
Steel prices are lower today than they were when Trump left office. In fact, CNY/T is lower today than just about every single day under the Biden admin.

Pretty easy to check.

Steel rebar futures were at CNY 3,220 per tonne, remaining close to the two-month lows of CNY 3,200 touched on March 11th amid concerns of lower demand. Consumer and producer prices in China fell more than expected in February to underscore the poor demand for manufactured goods in the world's top consumer. In the meantime, US President Trump imposed 25% tariffs on steel, spurring retaliatory measures from the EU. The measures have a muted impact on the Chinese rebar market due to existing barriers Trump's first term. Still, the move added to a rising trend of protectionist policies that do impact Chinese mills, particularly due to the rising dependency on exports to meet their sales targets as slowing construction activity dampened domestic rebar buying. Tariffs were imposed or threatened by Taiwan, Vietnam, South Korea, and Brazil. Steel exports grew 7% in the first two months to 17 million tons, following a record-setting record-high 130 million tons in 2024.​






So this is where you tell someone that spends tens of thousands of dollars on steel per year what is and what isn’t?

Steel under Biden was way better than under trump. Biden made me more $$$$.

Just because it doesn’t fit your politcal agenda doesn’t mean it isn’t true.

Sit down and shut the fck up on this one son.
 
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It’s a large house, and a big part of it is the garage. He collects vehicles. Think garage in Ferris Buehlers Day Off. I’m not sure what the total square footage is but think the garage alone will house 7-8 vehicles.
Well, my garage is only 3 stalls, my collector cars will go in the separate shop. I am still highly skeptical about the claimed hit of 200k increase simple for lumber.
 
Not arguing that your price increases didn't happen, but why is there such a difference between what you experienced and what the US BLS charts show was a fairly stable level through Trump's first term? The huge spike happened during Biden's term, which I would expect is primarily explained by the whole Covid mess.


I don’t know what to tell you. You either believe me as someone that is in the industry or you scour the web to try and prove me wrong.

The huge spike was under trump. It was Biden that got prices down. Believe it or don’t.
 
Well, my garage is only 3 stalls, my collector cars will go in the separate shop. I am still highly skeptical about the claimed hit of 200k increase simple for lumber.
Ok be skeptical. Not sure why my buddy would have a reason to bullshit me about that he’s not trying to convince me of anything. Shipping costs may factor in too. Trade wars don’t just create chaos with materials pricing but also supply, demand, and logistics.
 
Well there was that contract for the government to purchase 400 million in armored cyber trucks. No conflict of interest/ corruption going on there.
Are you sure about that contract? Right wing lunatic site Snopes (LOL!) says you are full of it. No contract, no corruption.
 
So this is where you tell someone that spends tens of thousands of dollars on steel per year what is and what isn’t?

Steel under Biden was way better than under trump. Biden made me more $$$$.

Just because it doesn’t fit your politcal agenda doesn’t mean it isn’t true.

Sit down and shut the fck up on this one son.
Wall Street says so, as I linked.

Perhaps you’re just confused by your hatred? Mixing up your story with facts?

Wall Street >>> Biggs Street.
 
I don’t know what to tell you. You either believe me as someone that is in the industry or you scour the web to try and prove me wrong.

The huge spike was under trump. It was Biden that got prices down. Believe it or don’t.
Oh, I absolutely believe you and what happened to you. I am just trying to understand things. Were US firms manipulating the market? Is that chart not applicable to the exact products that you buy? Only trying to get a better understanding of things that I am not an expert on.

I appreciate your inputs.
 
Wall Street says so, as I linked.

Perhaps you’re just confused by your hatred? Mixing up your story with facts?

Wall Street >>> Biggs Street.
I’ve never been a fan of Biggs puffing out his chest and threatening to beat people up, but I have to say I’d have no problem watching him make you cry uncle. Some people are just asking for it.
 
I’ve never been a fan of Biggs puffing out his chest and threatening to beat people up, but I have to say I’d have no problem watching him make you cry uncle. Some people are just asking for it.
Funny, I was thinking the same about certain whiney libs, constantly crying on this board.
 
I’ve never been a fan of Biggs puffing out his chest and threatening to beat people up, but I have to say I’d have no problem watching him make you cry uncle. Some people are just asking for it.

If it isnt what he wants his trump narative to be, it cannot be true!!!
 
Funny, I was thinking the same about certain whiney libs, constantly crying on this board.
lol. I’m no lib but Trump is the biggest f’n crybaby on the planet and his cult is just as bad. Cosplaying wannabe tough guys always crying victim.
 
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