No, but it sure helps, especially in today's NFL. Check the list of Super Bowl winners the past 15 years. Dilfer was 20 years ago, but since 2005, only Foles and Flacco would be considered a non-star QB. The other SB winners over that time frame include Brady, Manning, Mahomes, Wilson, Rodgers, Brees, and Rothlesberger.
IMO, Trevor Lawrence is going to be a better draft pick than Baker Mayfield, who helped Cleveland become a playoff winner in less than 3 years. Jacksonville already has a whopping 11 picks in this year's draft, including two first round picks, two second round picks, and 5 of the top 65 picks overall. They can grab the best QB in the draft as part of that haul.
Glad Cougar
Brady and Bree, and I think Roth, were lowest ended 1st round to 2nd,3rd,4th, 5th, 6th round draft picks.
So Brady, Roth, Bree, Flacco, Foles, Trent Dilfer, Russel Wilson(2nd Round, that's a lot of Superbowl winners that werent drafted either Top 4 of 1st round to even in 1st round.
Yes 11 picks, to get Lawrence, and 10 others is ok, good, etc.
But Trading the #1 pick for 2 more 1st rounders, 1,2 2nd Rounders, 1 3rd Rounders.
Thats about 16,17 draft picks:
4 1st rounders, 4 2nd rounders, 2,3 3rd rounders, 2 4th rounders, 2 5th rounders, 2 6th rounders, 1,2 7th rounders.
Now with that, You take a still pretty good QB at #7 to #12 pick of 1st round(There just isnt that much of a drop off at QB between picks #1 and #7 and to #12 in the 1st round)
Then you take a 1st round LT, a 1st round DL, a 1st Round DB, or LB(Best Available).
Then you Spend your 3,4 2nd round picks on RB, WR.
Then you take the best available that fills roster holes, the rest of draft.
If Done right, with good evaluation, development, you end up with a good, great, but cheaper QB, with a good, but cheaper supporting cast around that QB, that frees up money for 1,2,3 Free Agents, that all that combined wins your division, goes deep in playoffs, wins superbowls.
That is how Pete Carrol and the Seahawks General Manager built the Seahawks, won a Superbowl with the Seahawks.
That is the BLUEPRINT for the Jags.
If Pete Carrol, and the Seahawks General Manager worked for the Jags, what would they do?
Would they take Lawrence, and 10 other picks?
Or would they take a QB at, between picks 7 to 12 of the 1st round, after trading Lawrence, er the #1 pick, and then draft 15,16,17 more as a supporting cast?
Would they rather have 10,11 picks, or 15,16,17 picks?
They would trade away Lawrence, get 15,16,17 picks, pick a QB at #7 to #12 of 1st round, draft a supporting cast, use the savings for 1,2,3 Free Agents, and then win division, goto playoffs, superbowl, win superbowl within 1,2,3,4 years.
Thats what they would do for the Jags, and how they would do it.
But be that as it would be, its a mute, moot point, because of Jags ownership, front office, Urban Meyer who wont trade Lawrence the #1 pick, because its supposedly technically safer, and not a big risk gamble, considering how many #1 pick of 1st round QB's end up as BUST.