5Dimes online Sportsbook Makes Cougs -7 Favorite
- Thread starter WASH ST A&M FAN
- Start date
I don't buy it. I agree that it makes sense from a bookie perspective...probably get about half the money on one side of that and half on the other. But I don't see the game going that way.
CML has historically not had the team ready to play the first game. I love him as a coach and am delighted that he is a Coug, but history is pretty clear. We've been upset too many times on opening day. And I suspect that Wyoming will be good enough at home to beat us if we show up the way we've opened at least 3 of the seasons under CML. If that is what happens, we probably lose, but if we win it won't be by 7. Maybe 3. And we'll be happy to escape by the skin of our teeth.
The other possibility is that we are fully ready to play. That would be a testament to the current staff, given the new QB and D line. If that happens we will win by 2-3 TD's.
I won't know how I would actually bet the game until a couple of days before. But at this point I don't see it being a 7 point game, and it doesn't matter which way I would bet...it still won't be a 7 point difference.
CML has historically not had the team ready to play the first game. I love him as a coach and am delighted that he is a Coug, but history is pretty clear. We've been upset too many times on opening day. And I suspect that Wyoming will be good enough at home to beat us if we show up the way we've opened at least 3 of the seasons under CML. If that is what happens, we probably lose, but if we win it won't be by 7. Maybe 3. And we'll be happy to escape by the skin of our teeth.
The other possibility is that we are fully ready to play. That would be a testament to the current staff, given the new QB and D line. If that happens we will win by 2-3 TD's.
I won't know how I would actually bet the game until a couple of days before. But at this point I don't see it being a 7 point game, and it doesn't matter which way I would bet...it still won't be a 7 point difference.
lol, Cr8zy. I was in complete agreement but then I stopped to just think objectively.
So what your saying is we might lose, but we might win by a small margin... or we might win by a large margin... We have all the bases covered then... lol. Not trying to pound on you. Just found myself in complete agreement and then I started thinking.
I believe that we are going to boat race Wyoming. I know that we haven't been prone to good starts most years, but we did beat Montana State 31-0 last year. It's not impossible that we'll come out focused......I hope.
95, I hope that you are right.
Flat, you made me laugh. I appreciate that. All I am saying for sure is that it won't be a 7 point win for WSU. 1,2, or 3? Maybe. A loss? Maybe, if we start badly enough. A boat race win? That is also possible, if we are actually ready to play. But if you want to bet, find someone who you can bet that the game will not be won by WSU by anywhere between 5-9 points. Because that is not going to happen. Think of it as inverse craps dice odds.
Flat, you made me laugh. I appreciate that. All I am saying for sure is that it won't be a 7 point win for WSU. 1,2, or 3? Maybe. A loss? Maybe, if we start badly enough. A boat race win? That is also possible, if we are actually ready to play. But if you want to bet, find someone who you can bet that the game will not be won by WSU by anywhere between 5-9 points. Because that is not going to happen. Think of it as inverse craps dice odds.
We're Pac12; they are mid-major. Edge- us. They are at home and CML starts slowly. Edge- them. Both teams are breaking in new quarterbacks. Edge- confusion. If I were a gambling man I wouldn't touch this with the proverbial ten foot pole. Does add interest though, doesn't it?
man2, stop with that objective thinking. That sort of behavior will just confuse you.
man2, stop with that objective thinking. That sort of behavior will just confuse you.
They will be up for the game. I don’t think it’s often they get a PAC team at home. We are breaking in a new QB and have lots of new pieces with coaching staff that needs to gel. We should have taken care of Boise a couple years ago too and they were jacked for that game at home too and should have won easily if it wasn’t for dumass Harsin, so we lost by 4 I think? I think this line is appropriate but I wouldn’t touch this game either.
Wyoming plays their opening game against New Mexico St, then has only one week to prepare for Leach’s Air Raid. I consider that a definate advantage for WSU.
Was unaware of Wyoming's schedule. For some reason I assumed that this was their first game too. You raise a good point in that they will have only seven days in which to prepare for an offense they are probably unfamiliar with. On the other hand, they will have a game's experience in which to determine which players and schemes work and which do not. Actual and recent game experience is valuable. You may well be right but I would call it a draw.
I agree that I wouldn't touch this game with a 10' pole, but their starting QB is inexperienced as well. Their final spring depth chart showed redshirt freshman Tyler Vander Waal at the top. Even if Nick Smith (a senior) eventually starts, it's pretty damning for him to be getting pushed by a redshirt freshman QB who's biggest accolade was making the Sacramento Bee's All Metro team and being ranked as the 174th best recruit in the state of California in 2016. They feature three second year players starting on their offensive line as well with two redshirt freshmen and a sophomore. Tinsley doesn't have any flashy accolades but he did throw for over 2100 yards as a juco freshman and comparing stats as seniors in high school, threw for 1000 yards more than Wyoming's QB. Gordon was an All-State player who was setting records in the area he was from. From a talent perspective, we are obviously the better team. Even though I'm worried about our OL, I'll take our 5 guys ahead of theirs in a heart beat.
If not for our history of playing poorly in the first few weeks of the season under Leach, I'd pick this game as a blowout in a heartbeat and my gut says that we are going to do that. I understand that our history, combined with the question marks, makes that hard to feel confident about.
We’re 0.167 winning percentage on opening games against mostly lower competition, so until CML gets that average above .500, I don’t know why we would ever be favored.
My guess is that Wyoming will throw the proverbial "kitchen sink" blitzes until we show that we have an answer. Have one guy assigned to following the RB everywhere he goes so the dump off pass is neutralized. Don't worry about our running or deep passes. Use man coverage on our WR's and make them prove they can get open (and our QB can find them) before the 5 man (maybe occasionally 6 man) rush gets to our QB. New QB, away game...I'll be surprised if they simply play it straight with a 4 man rush. If we can run the ball, or give our QB 3+ seconds, we can break them of that strategy. Otherwise it will be a long afternoon. And the point already made by others that this is Wyoming's 2nd game is also a biggie; there is more improvement between games 1 & 2 than any other pair of games.
It's amazing we even consider that we could lose to Wyoming. But we know our history...and I wouldn't touch this game with a ten foot pole either.
Wyoming's defense worries me. I don't expect a lot of points for either team in this game (which of course means shootout). I'd love to see the Cougs win but I feel much better about San Jose than I do about Wyoming or even Eastern.
