Some people have tossed around the word "unproven" with Luke Falk, and with just showing up at the last of the season that's understandable to assume it because he was so new being thrust into the starting job, but I wanted to see how much experience he has versus Halliday when he first took over as the sole starter.
Luke Falk walked on in 2013 giving him a full year to Redshirt and get accustomed to the offense.
In 2014 his RS Freshmen year he took over the starting job when Halliday went down.
This will actually be Luke Falk's 3rd season inside the program. With two full years 4 games and 3 starts under his belt.
Now when Halliday started in 2012 He was a RS Soph and had missed spring camp recovering from injury. Halliday had Pac 12 experience, but the offense was new to him.
In his first year in the Leach era Halliday started 5 games and split time in other games with Tuel.
He posted the following numbers
Att 291 Comp 152 % 52.2 yds 1878 yds/att 6.5 TDs 15 Ints 13 Rat. 114.52
Not a bad start for a RS Soph learning a new system.
Here's Falk's stats after 4 games as a RS Freshmen
Att. 243 Comp 156 % 64.2 yds 1859 yds/att 7.7 TDs 13 Ints 7 Rat. 140.36
Falk has 12% better comp %, similar yards better yds/att about the same tds and about half as many ints as Halliday did in 2012...starting less games, and throwing about 50 less passes.
So Falk was actually better out the gate then Halliday to start in 2012. Now the offense was totally new to Halliday, but also he was a year older and had Pac 12 game experience,
No matter the experience/ starting point. The results are clear. Falk was better than Halliday in 2012.
So what can we expect in 2015 from Falk?
Halliday posted the following numbers in his first year as the sole starter:
Att 714 Comp. 449 % 62.9 Yds. 4597 Yds/Att 6.4 Tds. 34 Int. 22 Rat. 126.52
using the Att as a scale I will project his numbers if he doesn't improve at all from what he did in 2014.
Luke Falk Projected 2015:
Att 714 Comp 463 % 64.2 yards 5497 yds/att 7.7
Now to do his tds and ints I will keep them with the same ratio to attempts in 2014 and just scale them for 2015.
Tadaaaaa
LUKE FALK PROJECTED 2015 NUMBERS!
Att 714 Comp 463 % 64.2 yards 5497 yds/att 7.7 38 TDs 20 INTs QBR : 141.47
so how does that compare to Halliday in 2013?
Att 714 Comp. 449 % 62.9 Yds. 4597 Yds/Att 6.4 Tds. 34 Int. 22 Rat. 126.52
Pretty similar but with 900 more yards 2 more tds and 2 less ints. Now this is if Falk improves zero on what he did in 2014. I find that unlikely.
But it's pretty safe to say that QB is not something we need to worry about for next year at all.
Luke Falk walked on in 2013 giving him a full year to Redshirt and get accustomed to the offense.
In 2014 his RS Freshmen year he took over the starting job when Halliday went down.
This will actually be Luke Falk's 3rd season inside the program. With two full years 4 games and 3 starts under his belt.
Now when Halliday started in 2012 He was a RS Soph and had missed spring camp recovering from injury. Halliday had Pac 12 experience, but the offense was new to him.
In his first year in the Leach era Halliday started 5 games and split time in other games with Tuel.
He posted the following numbers
Att 291 Comp 152 % 52.2 yds 1878 yds/att 6.5 TDs 15 Ints 13 Rat. 114.52
Not a bad start for a RS Soph learning a new system.
Here's Falk's stats after 4 games as a RS Freshmen
Att. 243 Comp 156 % 64.2 yds 1859 yds/att 7.7 TDs 13 Ints 7 Rat. 140.36
Falk has 12% better comp %, similar yards better yds/att about the same tds and about half as many ints as Halliday did in 2012...starting less games, and throwing about 50 less passes.
So Falk was actually better out the gate then Halliday to start in 2012. Now the offense was totally new to Halliday, but also he was a year older and had Pac 12 game experience,
No matter the experience/ starting point. The results are clear. Falk was better than Halliday in 2012.
So what can we expect in 2015 from Falk?
Halliday posted the following numbers in his first year as the sole starter:
Att 714 Comp. 449 % 62.9 Yds. 4597 Yds/Att 6.4 Tds. 34 Int. 22 Rat. 126.52
using the Att as a scale I will project his numbers if he doesn't improve at all from what he did in 2014.
Luke Falk Projected 2015:
Att 714 Comp 463 % 64.2 yards 5497 yds/att 7.7
Now to do his tds and ints I will keep them with the same ratio to attempts in 2014 and just scale them for 2015.
Tadaaaaa
LUKE FALK PROJECTED 2015 NUMBERS!
Att 714 Comp 463 % 64.2 yards 5497 yds/att 7.7 38 TDs 20 INTs QBR : 141.47
so how does that compare to Halliday in 2013?
Att 714 Comp. 449 % 62.9 Yds. 4597 Yds/Att 6.4 Tds. 34 Int. 22 Rat. 126.52
Pretty similar but with 900 more yards 2 more tds and 2 less ints. Now this is if Falk improves zero on what he did in 2014. I find that unlikely.
But it's pretty safe to say that QB is not something we need to worry about for next year at all.
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