Road Sweep
- Thread starter 7ICoug
- Start date
Tough getting a sweep on the road and starters played a lot of minutes last night. Seems like we should match-up with Cal, but agree they are playing better lately.
Cal should have beat the Huskies last night. Cal gave up 2 3's plus missed the front end of a 1 & 1 in the last 30 seconds.
Not that the Huskies are much better at about 11-7, 10-7, 10-8, and could have easily been 11-9, 10-9
Yeah, Cal should have won. I give it to the huskies, as they made those two 3's. But Cal had defensive brainfarts, as both 3's were wide open. That should not have happened, especially the second one. You gave up one, you should have corrected the defense. To not adjust was just bad play and coaching.
WSU is going to win about 19,20,21,22 games before PAC tournament, NCAA tournament, and go about 12-8, 11-9, 10-10, about tied for 3rd at best, 6,7 at worst in conference, and then win 1 PAC tourny game, to go 20,21,22,23 wins before NCAA tournament to either go NIT(17% chance), bubble into NCAA tournament(83% chance), for a 2nd round finish(93% chance).
Because of that doesn't matter what the so called experts say about whether WSU gets in or not
We should be on the outside looking in at this point, but there is still a path that doesn't include winning the Pac 12 Tournament. We obviously need to win a lot. Win at home, minimum splits on the road, no blowout losses, add another "marquee"-type win.
Regardless, I really enjoy watching this team play. They are a good watch.
Coming into the season, I was definitely good with the NIT. Still good to be honest. We lost so much. Thought this looked like a really solid group, but didn't expect a road game where a first year player goes for 35! AND another player has 24 with 4 in double-digits. I know 'Furd was missing some pieces, but still impressive.
Small sample since SC, but we really seem to have put it together.
Small sample since SC, but we really seem to have put it together.
WSU has won 2,3 Quad 1 wins, 1,2 Quad 2 wins, and has had some close losses vs 1,2,3 Quad 1 teams.
WSU is 4-3 in conference, in the TOUGHEST 6,7 GAME CONFERENCE START IN NATION.
And based on how WSU's conference schedule is in the 2ND HALF of the conference schedule, WSU SHOULD finish with 18 wins at ultimate extreme worst minimum,19,20,21,22 wins before PAC Tourney, and 13-7, 12-8,11-9, 10-10 AT WORST, tied for 3rd at best, 4,5 at average, 6th AT WORST, before PAC tourny, then should win 1 PAC tourny win, and have 19 wins at extreme minimum, 19,20,21,22,23 wins after PAC tournament, before, by NCAA tournament time, and about a 73% to 83% to 93% chance of bubbling into tournament, and about a 7% to 13% to 27% chance of missing NCAA tournament, and going to NIT instead.
WSU IS ABOUT 73% TO 83% TO 93% A NCAA TOURNAMENT TEAM AND ARE NOT ON THE OUTSIDE LOOKING IN, NO MATTER WHAT THE EXPERTS, AND YOU AND OTHERS SAY.
BARRING INJURIES, OR EXTREME ULTIMATE MELTDOWN, ETC, OR ULTIMATE WRONG SNUB, ETC, WSU SHOULD MAKE THE NCAA TOURNAMENT AS A #7, #8, #9, #10, #11 SEED.
WSU is 4-3 in conference, in the TOUGHEST 6,7 GAME CONFERENCE START IN NATION.
And based on how WSU's conference schedule is in the 2ND HALF of the conference schedule, WSU SHOULD finish with 18 wins at ultimate extreme worst minimum,19,20,21,22 wins before PAC Tourney, and 13-7, 12-8,11-9, 10-10 AT WORST, tied for 3rd at best, 4,5 at average, 6th AT WORST, before PAC tourny, then should win 1 PAC tourny win, and have 19 wins at extreme minimum, 19,20,21,22,23 wins after PAC tournament, before, by NCAA tournament time, and about a 73% to 83% to 93% chance of bubbling into tournament, and about a 7% to 13% to 27% chance of missing NCAA tournament, and going to NIT instead.
WSU IS ABOUT 73% TO 83% TO 93% A NCAA TOURNAMENT TEAM AND ARE NOT ON THE OUTSIDE LOOKING IN, NO MATTER WHAT THE EXPERTS, AND YOU AND OTHERS SAY.
BARRING INJURIES, OR EXTREME ULTIMATE MELTDOWN, ETC, OR ULTIMATE WRONG SNUB, ETC, WSU SHOULD MAKE THE NCAA TOURNAMENT AS A #7, #8, #9, #10, #11 SEED.
WSU has one quad 1 win Arizona. Where we are starting to build a solid resume is in the quad 2 area. Quad 2 wins Stanford, USC and Boise State.
Keep the resume building going guys!!
WSU is 4-3 in conference, 13-5 overall, IF WSU wins 7 out of their next 13 conference games, to finish 11-9 in conference, and 20-11 overall, and 1 PAC tourny win, for 21 wins - 11 losses record before NCAA tournament, and they are 93% in NCAA tournament as a #7,#8,#9,#10,#11,#12 seed.
While the rest of WSU's conference schedule isn't weak, easy, it's a lot easier then the first 6,7 games that was the toughest 6,7 game conference schedule start in NATION, that WSU went 4-3 in.
So WSU SHOULD win 6,7,8 more games out of the next 13 conference games left in season, and should make the NCAA Tournament.
Toughest 7 game conference start in the nation?? Really? You got numbers to back that up I call BS.
Either way they need to take care of business against the teams they should (Cal) and put some home cooking on Utah and CU. Those teams are also bubble teams at this point, can’t afford to get swept in season. Next weekend is a tourney play in weekend. You win both you are right there. You lose both you are in trouble. You split, there’s work to be done but still possible.
Doesn't matter what conference games you win and lose and what order in a way, as long as you don't lose to bad, last place Quad 4,5, etc, teams like Cal, etc, as long as you get 19,20,21,22,23 wins before PAC tourny, and NCAA tourny, and as long as you win 1 PAC tourny game, and as long as you go 13-7, 12-8, 11-9 in conference, and as long as you go tied for 3rd, alone in 4th, with the conference being up, and maybe alone in 5th. Do that and about 87% chance your into the NCAA tournament almost no matter who you lose to or when lose to them, etc.
The only way losses matter when you have 19,20,21,22,23 wins, 1 PAC tourny win, 13-7, 12-8, tied for 3rd, etc, is if you lose to ENOUGH TRASH TEAMS like Cal, etc.
The other way the wins, losses matter, is that one could argue that if WSU doesn't beat the Cal's and doesn't split vs Utah, Colorado, that not only would their net ranking be down for losing to Cal, but finishing with 19,20,21,22,23 wins, 1 PAC 12 tourny win, 13-7, 12-8, 3rd, 4th in conference, etc, would be more DIFFICULT.
But if WSU did either lose to Cal an or not split with Utah, Colorado, or both etc, WSU could still go on a winning streak, and could theoretically beat teams like Oregon, Arizona, Washington, etc, to counter balance losing, etc, it's just that it would not be as likely, and would be more difficult.
The other factor, is that the 2nd half of PAC schedule is a HELL of a LOT EASIER, then the first 6,7, games, first half of PAC Schedule, and so because of that WSU could easily still lose to both Utah, Colorado, and then do GOOD ENOUGH during the EASIER 2ND HALF of PAC schedule to still finish with 19,20,21,22,23 wins, 1 PAC tourny win, 13-7,12:8,11-9, Tied for 3rd, alone in 4th, etc, in conference, and still have about a 67% chance to bubble into NCAA Tournament.
1,2 games vs teams like Utah, Colorado, and Stanford, and Washington, and 1,2 wins, or 1,2 losses vs those teams doesn't guarantee to define the rest of the season.
WSU could theoretically beat Utah, Colorado, Stanford, Washington, then because of injury, etc, lose 4 to 6 to 8 in row.
WSU could lose to Utah, Colorado, and Washington, and go on a 3 to 5 to 7 game win streak.
As an example, WSU lost, went 0-2 vs Utah AND Colorado both, then lost to Oregon, 2 games later, a game they could have easily won, and despite losing 3 out of 4 games to Utah, Colorado, Oregon, WSU went on to beat Arizona, Stanford, USC, in a 3 game stretch despite some saying WSU was out of NCAA running, etc.
It happened before. It can happen again.
Now surely it would be easier if WSU just takes care of and beats Utah, Colorado, ASU, Washington, Stanford, USC, UCLA, Cal, Oregon St, etc, or splits vs Utah, Colorado, etc.
But whether WSU does that or not, and based on the easier 2nd half of PAC schedule WSU is at least semi likely to win 19,20,21,22 games, 13-7, 12-8, 11-9 in conference, tied for 3rd, tied or alone in 4th, alone in 5th in conference, win 1 PAC tourny game, and have about a 59% to 67% to 77% to 87% chance to bubble into NCAA tournament, as either a #7,#8,#9,#10,#11,#12 seed, with a semi likely 2nd round finish.
That's the realistic, reasonable,logical projection, based on how WSU has done so far, and based on WSU's easier 2nd half PAC schedule, and based on how WSU has Semi Jelled, semi firing on almost all cylinders.
Doesn't matter what some of the so called Pundits, experts say, etc.
Cal is coming out playing hard. They had a crushing last second loss to the huskies and they have come out with something to prove. Sometimes that lasts the entire game, other times eventually the team will begin to play like who they really are.
Was worried about the energy with the short turnaround. Jones been on the bench for about 10 minutes. Cal doing a good job denying ball to rice.
Jones was gimpy a couple times against Stanford. Maybe just resting him for the 2nd? Good to see Jakimovski knocking shots down. Need to win the first 5 minutes.
Yup, he's really impacting the game. Aimaq actually went away from him on a shot. As MacLean said, it was a tougher shot and he missed it.
I like Kyle smith but that’s godawful coaching. Running the clock down that far and wasting a possession with a bad shot when you are only up a couple buckets is the equivalent of playing prevent defense in football. Keep attacking. Just stupid they gave that one away.
About as bad a start to OT as you can get. Can't clear a board & they get a 3, foul, turnover for a flush.
